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HOBART

R1 12:07 PM R2 12:47 PM R3 1:27 PM R4 2:06 PM R5 2:46 PM R6 3:27 PM R7 3:54 PM R8 4:24 PM R9 4:54 PM R10 5:25 PM R11 5:59 PM

Race 4

2:06 PM
1609m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for AutoKlene Hobart Raceway โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st AFFAMATO โญ Best Bet
2nd MONEYS NO ISSUE
3rd BAIL DENIED
4th MONTGOMERY BURNS
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” AFFAMATO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
AFFAMATO P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. AFFAMATO FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.38 $1.02 $2.11
10. BAIL DENIED 10 $8.00 $2.05 $8.89
2. SMOOTH REASON 2 $11.00 $2.20 $12.38
6. ATOMIC BLACK 6 $14.00 $2.75 $13.53
8. HAMMER DAN 8 $19.00 $2.80 $18.88
4. MONTGOMERY BURNS 4 $20.00 $3.60 $19.30
9. GOODTIME OSCAR 9 $31.00 $4.20 $25.98
3. ONEHANDONEBOUNCE 3 $31.00 $4.40 $29.59
11. OUR WILLOW 11 $41.00 $5.25 $39.58
7. JOHN VINCENT 7 $71.00 $6.50 $48.77
13. MISS COLLANN 13 $61.00 $6.50 $48.77
5. MONEYS NO ISSUE 5 $91.00 $7.25 $64.16
Favourite record at HOBART โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 82% 95% 39*
1.50โ€“1.99 51% 81% 47*
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 71% 31*
2.50โ€“3.49 23% 51% 39*
3.50โ€“4.99 10% 50% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.