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MELTON

R1 5:52 PM R2 6:24 PM R3 6:51 PM R4 7:24 PM R5 7:49 PM R6 8:20 PM R7 8:49 PM R8 9:26 PM R9 10:03 PM R10 10:34 PM

Race 5

7:49 PM
1720m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st SCOOTER LOU
2nd WILD CARD
3rd TIVOLI
4th MITZI SAID
โŒ Unplaced โ€” THUNDERFIRE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
THUNDERFIRE P $1.04
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. THUNDERFIRE FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.60 $1.04 $2.31
6. MONTANA PRIDE 6 $7.50 $1.90 $8.43
3. EVILEYE 3 $9.50 $2.20 $11.04
5. TIVOLI 5 $11.00 $2.35 $12.58
1. SCOOTER LOU 1 $13.00 $2.20 $13.71
7. GALAXY LASS 7 $21.00 $3.70 $19.37
9. AMPHIJET 9 $23.00 $3.70 $20.72
10. MITZI SAID 10 $26.00 $4.20 $22.04
4. WILD CARD 4 $34.00 $4.60 $28.22
2. BRINGSUSJOY 2 $51.00 $5.00 $39.49
Favourite record at MELTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 89% 83
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 45% 80% 106
2.00โ€“2.49 33% 66% 90
2.50โ€“3.49 26% 65% 100
3.50โ€“4.99 26% 55% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.