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PENRITH

R1 5:33 PM R2 6:01 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:07 PM R5 7:37 PM R6 8:07 PM R7 8:37 PM R8 9:07 PM R9 9:37 PM

Race 5

7:37 PM
1720m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st HESAA LISTER โญ Best Bet
2nd WHATA TERROR
3rd KING COREY
4th NEVERTOOLATE
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” HESAA LISTER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
HESAA LISTER P $1.03
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. HESAA LISTER FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.55 $1.03 $2.39
4. ROCKETON 4 $5.50 $1.45 $6.99
8. KING COREY 8 $14.00 $2.60 $10.09
7. DILETTO 7 $11.00 $1.95 $12.99
3. RIPSTONE SNORTER 3 $17.00 $3.20 $15.93
10. SHARK DANCER 10 $15.00 $3.00 $18.95
2. NEVERTOOLATE 2 $31.00 $4.00 $21.86
5. WHATA TERROR 5 $41.00 $5.00 $23.40
6. IDEAL REDEMPTION 6 $31.00 $4.40 $25.96
9. ETERNAL GOLD 9 $61.00 $6.25 $52.28
Favourite record at PENRITH โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 94% 50*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 49% 81% 75
2.00โ€“2.49 44% 69% 85
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 58% 115
3.50โ€“4.99 12% 37% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.