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GLOUCESTER PARK

R1 6:22 PM R2 6:56 PM R3 7:30 PM R4 8:04 PM R5 8:38 PM R6 9:15 PM R7 9:40 PM R8 10:15 PM

Race 3

7:30 PM
2130m ยท 11 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Gloucester Park โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st PROPOSITION JOE โญ Best Bet
2nd AMERICAN MACHINE
3rd PATRIARCH
4th AMERICAN FALCON
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” PROPOSITION JOE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
PROPOSITION JOE P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
11
PATRIARCH W $9.50
Form view ยท saver 12.1% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) ยท Recent form: 4151
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. PROPOSITION JOE FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.14 $1.02 $1.76
12. AMERICAN MACHINE 12 $6.50 $1.32 $7.52
11. PATRIARCH 11 $9.50 $1.50 $8.76
3. MATERNAL DREAMS 3 $31.00 $3.20 $18.69
10. AMERICAN FALCON 10 $51.00 $4.40 $37.66
8. SIGNATURE LOOK 8 $71.00 $5.50 $46.76
9. WAKE UP GEOFF 9 $71.00 $5.50 $49.98
7. IN RARE AIR 7 $61.00 $5.00 $53.97
1. HEZA CASANOVA 1 $101.00 $4.50 $61.15
2. STRONG THE STRIKER 2 $91.00 $5.25 $62.15
6. THE FINAL OFFER 6 $101.00 $6.25 $73.72
Favourite record at GLOUCESTER PARK โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.14) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 82% 93% 112
1.50โ€“1.99 50% 81% 214
2.00โ€“2.49 40% 70% 165
2.50โ€“3.49 31% 63% 199
3.50โ€“4.99 27% 56% 79

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.