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HOBART

R1 12:12 PM R2 12:49 PM R3 1:24 PM R4 1:59 PM R5 2:34 PM R6 3:09 PM R7 3:44 PM R8 4:19 PM

Race 6

3:09 PM
2090m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for AutoKlene Hobart Raceway ›
🏁 Result
1st WHERE IT BEGAN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SPORT WATCHER
3rd PHLOW JO
4th SOUTHERN LUCK
✅ Place bet — won outright — WHERE IT BEGAN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
WHERE IT BEGAN P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. WHERE IT BEGAN FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.50 $1.02 $2.21
2. PHLOW JO 2 $5.50 $1.34 $6.34
3. SPORT WATCHER 3 $7.50 $1.85 $7.80
4. DOLCE DRAMA 4 $10.00 $2.30 $14.70
8. SOUTHERN LUCK 8 $20.00 $2.90 $21.21
7. REALLY SMARTIE 7 $34.00 $4.60 $27.01
9. JAMES CAGNEY 9 $51.00 $5.00 $32.79
6. ALWAYS AURORA 6 $51.00 $5.75 $35.76
11. GOBSMACKED 11 $61.00 $6.50 $50.73
10. WAVETHEBILL 10 $91.00 $7.25 $62.95
5. STEEL RULER 5 $126.00 $9.00 $64.75
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 83% 94% 47*
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 82% 67
2.00–2.49 33% 71% 55*
2.50–3.49 27% 58% 62
3.50–4.99 10% 43% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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