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Race 4

1:59 PM
2090m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for AutoKlene Hobart Raceway ›
🏁 Result
1st JILLIBY WORPA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd QUEEN ANASTASIA
3rd A ROCKN NIGHTMARE
4th SWEETHEART DIOR
✅ Place bet — won outright — JILLIBY WORPA finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
JILLIBY WORPA P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. JILLIBY WORPA FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.18 $1.02 $2.03
3. A ROCKN NIGHTMARE 3 $9.00 $1.70 $10.15
7. QUEEN ANASTASIA 7 $10.00 $1.90 $10.55
8. SPORTZSILK 8 $15.00 $2.40 $13.53
9. ULTIMATE GLADIATOR 9 $19.00 $2.60 $15.94
4. ASTORMZABREWEN 4 $41.00 $4.40 $20.38
5. SWEETHEART DIOR 5 $34.00 $3.90 $21.37
1. SHES NANCY 1 $41.00 $3.50 $23.41
6. MILLYCENT 6 $71.00 $5.75 $34.47
10. SOHO TUXEDO 10 $126.00 $7.00 $93.16
Favourite record at HOBART ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.18) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 83% 94% 47*
1.50–1.99 52% 82% 67
2.00–2.49 33% 71% 55*
2.50–3.49 27% 58% 62
3.50–4.99 10% 43% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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