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MARBURG

R1 12:54 PM R2 1:29 PM R3 2:04 PM R4 2:42 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:54 PM R7 4:32 PM R8 4:57 PM

Race 4

2:42 PM
2200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FITZROY 📍 Place Pick
2nd SWEET ROCKY
3rd ALWAYSBJOY 💡 Saver
4th ROCK NIEN
✅ Place bet — won outright — FITZROY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ALWAYSBJOY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
FITZROY W $1.85·P $1.12
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
6
ALWAYSBJOY P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. FITZROY FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.85 $1.12 $2.60
6. ALWAYSBJOY 6 $2.60 $1.26 $2.86
7. SWEET ROCKY 7 $5.50 $2.05 $6.30
2. ROCK NIEN 2 $17.00 $4.20 $23.03
4. FOXFIRE EASTON 4 $34.00 $6.50 $32.09
1. ONE LAST ROLL 1 $61.00 $6.50 $60.37
5. MISTER REACTOR 5 $81.00 $12.00 $63.10
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 64% 93% 28*
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 44*
2.00–2.49 43% 83% 35*
2.50–3.49 31% 74% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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