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LAUNCESTON

R1 4:23 PM R2 4:55 PM R3 5:22 PM R4 5:52 PM R5 6:22 PM R6 6:52 PM R7 7:30 PM R8 8:07 PM

Race 1

4:23 PM
2200m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st CRAYONS TO PERFUME ⭐ Best Bet
2nd UNMATCHED
3rd OUR WILLOW
4th OUR SWEET TRIXIE
✅ Place bet — won outright — CRAYONS TO PERFUME finished 1st
Dominant favourite Strong
Trust the favourite — market and model agree. Win-bet race.
4
CRAYONS TO PERFUME P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. CRAYONS TO PERFUME FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.38 $1.02 $2.18
1. OUR WILLOW 1 $6.00 $1.65 $5.87
6. UNMATCHED 6 $6.50 $2.10 $6.24
3. ANGEL ROCKS 3 $7.50 $2.20 $6.25
2. OUR SWEET TRIXIE 2 $41.00 $5.25 $29.66
5. NORBET 5 $126.00 $12.00 $62.08
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 81% 98% 48*
1.50–1.99 46% 76% 54*
2.00–2.49 27% 58% 64
2.50–3.49 35% 67% 88
3.50–4.99 21% 38% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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