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PENRITH

R1 5:17 PM R2 5:53 PM R3 6:18 PM R4 6:51 PM R5 7:21 PM R6 8:00 PM R7 8:30 PM R8 9:00 PM R9 9:30 PM

Race 4

6:51 PM
1720m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st RAGING WHITEBAIT 💡 Saver
2nd ONE FOR THE RODI
3rd PROMISING
4th MAJOR REASON 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — MAJOR REASON didn't feature
✅ Saver won — RAGING WHITEBAIT finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
MAJOR REASON W $2.45·P $1.20
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
7
RAGING WHITEBAIT P $1.34
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. MAJOR REASON FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.45 $1.20 $3.43
7. RAGING WHITEBAIT 7 $4.00 $1.34 $5.66
8. PROMISING 8 $6.50 $1.85 $7.66
5. MAC BON 5 $11.00 $2.75 $11.09
10. MAURLEN BOY 10 $12.00 $3.00 $11.90
4. BLACK ONYX 4 $15.00 $3.50 $16.69
6. FIRE FOX 6 $16.00 $3.70 $17.29
9. ONE FOR THE RODI 9 $17.00 $3.75 $18.23
3. CAPTAIN RITCHIE 3 $13.00 $2.80 $18.40
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 94% 49*
1.50–1.99 49% 80% 70
2.00–2.49 this race 45% 69% 80
2.50–3.49 31% 59% 109
3.50–4.99 11% 37% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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