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BALLARAT

R1 5:37 PM R2 6:06 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:09 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 7

8:45 PM
1710m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MISTER AMERICANO 💡 Saver
2nd SPRINGFIELD RIVER
3rd BRAVE ART
4th DE BEAU ROCK
❌ Unplaced — ARZALI ROCKSTAR didn't feature
✅ Saver won — MISTER AMERICANO finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
ARZALI ROCKSTAR W $1.80·P $1.16
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
MISTER AMERICANO P $1.45
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. ARZALI ROCKSTAR FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.80 $1.16 $2.78
5. MISTER AMERICANO 5 $3.40 $1.45 $4.18
3. SPRINGFIELD RIVER 3 $6.50 $2.50 $7.34
6. TOMBEUR 6 $8.50 $3.10 $7.76
2. BRAVE ART 2 $18.00 $4.50 $14.01
7. THE SPARKLER 7 $31.00 $6.75 $20.38
1. DE BEAU ROCK 1 $91.00 $7.50 $65.60
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 72% 96% 25*
1.50–1.99 this race 39% 73% 59*
2.00–2.49 34% 73% 44*
2.50–3.49 35% 58% 62
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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