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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:10 PM R2 12:44 PM R3 1:19 PM R4 1:54 PM R5 2:29 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:25 PM R8 4:00 PM R9 4:44 PM

Race 9

4:44 PM
1680m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st FARROH JOE โญ Best Bet
2nd KYRGIOS
3rd TWILIGHT BEACH
4th DEBT TILL WE PART
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” FARROH JOE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FARROH JOE P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. FARROH JOE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.14 $1.02 $1.92
2. SUMTHIN ELSE 2 $6.50 $1.22 $7.97
3. KYRGIOS 3 $10.00 $1.55 $8.27
5. TWILIGHT BEACH 5 $26.00 $3.00 $16.56
8. DEBT TILL WE PART 8 $31.00 $2.75 $22.54
9. KIAVINO STRIDE 9 $51.00 $4.00 $25.88
7. PUNTARNO STRIDE 7 $61.00 $4.60 $26.21
4. FEELINKINDALUCKY 4 $51.00 $4.25 $29.32
6. JEREMY WELLS 6 $81.00 $5.25 $55.96
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.14) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 81% 98% 47*
1.50โ€“1.99 46% 76% 54*
2.00โ€“2.49 27% 58% 64
2.50โ€“3.49 35% 67% 88
3.50โ€“4.99 21% 38% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.