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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:10 PM R2 12:44 PM R3 1:19 PM R4 1:54 PM R5 2:29 PM R6 2:55 PM R7 3:25 PM R8 4:00 PM R9 4:44 PM

Race 4

1:54 PM
2200m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st FAMILY REASONS
2nd ROCKNALLOVERTHEWORLD
3rd OUR ULTIMATE GRACY 📍 Place Pick
4th PHLOW JO 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet landed — OUR ULTIMATE GRACY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
OUR ULTIMATE GRACY W $2.30·P $1.30
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
PHLOW JO P $1.36
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. OUR ULTIMATE GRACY FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.30 $1.30 $3.00
3. PHLOW JO 3 $2.70 $1.36 $3.50
4. ROCKNALLOVERTHEWORLD 4 $5.50 $2.35 $7.17
2. FAMILY REASONS 2 $7.50 $2.80 $8.86
8. NATIONAL NEWS 8 $13.00 $3.60 $12.63
6. JAMES CAGNEY 6 $26.00 $6.50 $28.21
7. STIR ME UP 7 $101.00 $15.00 $71.83
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 81% 98% 47*
1.50–1.99 46% 76% 54*
2.00–2.49 this race 27% 58% 64
2.50–3.49 35% 67% 88
3.50–4.99 21% 38% 24*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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