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NEWCASTLE

R1 4:22 PM R2 4:53 PM R3 5:21 PM R4 5:52 PM R5 6:21 PM R6 6:52 PM R7 7:21 PM R8 7:48 PM R9 8:22 PM R10 9:01 PM

Race 3

5:21 PM
1609m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st KING HIT
2nd ERROL FIN 💡 Saver
3rd ROCK FISHERMAN
4th LEAVE IT TO LUCY
❌ Unplaced — FRANKIROMAR didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — ERROL FIN ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
FRANKIROMAR W $2.05·P $1.12
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
4
ERROL FIN P $1.40
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. FRANKIROMAR FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.05 $1.12 $3.35
4. ERROL FIN 4 $4.40 $1.40 $5.30
5. ROCK FISHERMAN 5 $8.50 $2.25 $8.21
10. LEAVE IT TO LUCY 10 $13.00 $2.80 $10.99
2. KING HIT 2 $9.00 $2.20 $11.46
1. BUBBA NAY 1 $13.00 $2.45 $13.74
7. BAT MATSON 7 $11.00 $2.65 $14.70
9. CORAL CAYS 9 $31.00 $5.00 $22.72
8. OURTREACHEROUS REIGN 8 $126.00 $11.00 $68.63
6. TINNY MAHONEY 6 $126.00 $10.00 $72.33
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 90% 49*
1.50–1.99 44% 78% 112
2.00–2.49 this race 41% 69% 108
2.50–3.49 26% 57% 164
3.50–4.99 19% 53% 43*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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