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CANBERRA

R1 5:09 PM R2 5:42 PM R3 6:17 PM R4 6:52 PM R5 7:27 PM R6 7:55 PM R7 8:23 PM R8 8:53 PM

Race 3

6:17 PM
1770m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st BETTES BLUE VIOLET 📍 Place Pick
2nd WHEN TO WALKAWAY
3rd IDEAL ANDY
4th LETTYS REASON
✅ Place bet — won outright — BETTES BLUE VIOLET finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
BETTES BLUE VIOLET P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. BETTES BLUE VIOLET FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.90 $1.30 $4.18
3. IDEAL ANDY 3 $4.60 $1.60 $6.51
4. PETES BIG JIM 4 $7.00 $2.30 $6.89
2. WHEN TO WALKAWAY 2 $7.00 $2.10 $9.99
8. PUKUNUI BEACH 8 $10.00 $2.65 $11.19
9. MISTER WELLS 9 $8.00 $2.40 $11.67
7. LETTYS REASON 7 $11.00 $2.65 $14.52
5. MAJOR ISSUES 5 $17.00 $4.00 $14.55
10. FREASON 10 $41.00 $6.50 $37.65
6. MILLIE FRANCIS 6 $61.00 $7.25 $44.18
Favourite record at CANBERRA ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 33% 50% 24*
2.50–3.49 this race 55% 76% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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