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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:03 PM R2 5:33 PM R3 6:03 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 7:02 PM R6 7:34 PM R7 8:01 PM

Race 6

7:34 PM
1609m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st RESERVE BANK โญ Best Bet
2nd KEAYANG HARLOW
3rd FEARFUL
4th THRIPENNY
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” RESERVE BANK finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
RESERVE BANK P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. RESERVE BANK FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.65 $1.02 $2.63
8. FEARFUL 8 $3.70 $1.24 $4.99
4. KEAYANG HARLOW 4 $7.50 $1.70 $9.24
7. BET ON POLLY 7 $17.00 $3.00 $11.63
9. ELLEZIE 9 $15.00 $2.75 $12.52
2. THRIPENNY 2 $20.00 $3.10 $16.96
3. PIXIEBELLE 3 $34.00 $4.25 $22.16
5. CARPENTER 5 $81.00 $6.50 $36.60
1. MAJOR NOAH WILLIAM 1 $101.00 $5.00 $71.02
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 89% 46*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 44% 78% 108
2.00โ€“2.49 41% 70% 103
2.50โ€“3.49 26% 58% 161
3.50โ€“4.99 20% 54% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.