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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:03 PM R2 5:33 PM R3 6:03 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 7:02 PM R6 7:34 PM R7 8:01 PM

Race 1

5:03 PM
2030m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st STITCHED UP DAN 📍 Place Pick
2nd CHEDDAR VALLEY
3rd RADIANT AMBER
4th AVENGER
✅ Place bet — won outright — STITCHED UP DAN finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
STITCHED UP DAN W $1.85·P $1.06
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
KING HIT P $1.34
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. STITCHED UP DAN FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.85 $1.06 $2.93
1. KING HIT 1 $5.50 $1.34 $6.04
5. ERROL FIN 5 $5.50 $1.50 $6.21
6. AVENGER 6 $8.00 $2.00 $10.59
9. CHEDDAR VALLEY 9 $14.00 $2.45 $12.35
10. RADIANT AMBER 10 $12.00 $2.35 $13.79
8. DEECEE ROCKIN 8 $21.00 $3.75 $16.34
4. HEEZ REASONABLE 4 $151.00 $10.00 $43.92
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 89% 46*
1.50–1.99 this race 44% 78% 108
2.00–2.49 41% 70% 103
2.50–3.49 26% 58% 161
3.50–4.99 20% 54% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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