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BALLARAT

R1 5:34 PM R2 6:02 PM R3 6:29 PM R4 6:59 PM R5 7:36 PM R6 8:06 PM R7 8:36 PM R8 9:06 PM R9 9:36 PM R10 10:06 PM

Race 7

8:36 PM
1710m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st NATHANS DREAMER 📍 Place Pick
2nd INTHE NORTY CORNER
3rd WHATSTHEGOSS
4th ARIVADERCHI
✅ Place bet — won outright — NATHANS DREAMER finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
NATHANS DREAMER P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. NATHANS DREAMER FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.80 $1.26 $3.63
4. MUNRO KAI 4 $4.80 $1.55 $5.89
2. INTHE NORTY CORNER 2 $5.00 $1.45 $6.99
7. KYVALLEY JOYRIDE 7 $5.50 $1.80 $7.00
5. PIEVALLEY 5 $13.00 $3.25 $14.44
9. SYNTAX ERROR 9 $16.00 $3.40 $17.35
8. WHATSTHEGOSS 8 $17.00 $3.30 $19.09
3. ARIVADERCHI 3 $20.00 $4.00 $19.36
6. BILLYSOPHIA 6 $31.00 $5.25 $26.51
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 95% 20*
1.50–1.99 33% 69% 48*
2.00–2.49 31% 71% 42*
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 56% 57*
3.50–4.99 24% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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