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BALLARAT

R1 5:34 PM R2 6:02 PM R3 6:29 PM R4 6:59 PM R5 7:36 PM R6 8:06 PM R7 8:36 PM R8 9:06 PM R9 9:36 PM R10 10:06 PM

Race 4

6:59 PM
1710m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st JILLIBY RADIANCE
2nd TRUSCOTTS ELEGANCE
3rd CARTACALHA
4th ALECTRONA
❌ Unplaced — PURPLE MOON didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
10
PURPLE MOON P $1.34
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. PURPLE MOON FAV TOP RATED 10 $3.40 $1.34 $4.65
7. TRUSCOTTS ELEGANCE 7 $3.50 $1.34 $4.77
6. JILLIBY RADIANCE 6 $3.80 $1.38 $5.21
5. ALECTRONA 5 $6.00 $1.90 $6.79
1. CARTACALHA 1 $10.00 $2.30 $10.81
2. CALLINAN 2 $23.00 $4.00 $21.44
4. BIG RAIN 4 $51.00 $6.75 $36.51
3. ROSENLIL 3 $61.00 $7.25 $40.32
9. BROOKLYNGOTCOURAGE 9 $61.00 $6.50 $43.26
8. MISS KOMMUNICATION 8 $71.00 $7.50 $46.65
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.40) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 95% 20*
1.50–1.99 33% 69% 48*
2.00–2.49 31% 71% 42*
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 56% 57*
3.50–4.99 24% 57% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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