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PENRITH

R1 5:50 PM R2 6:22 PM R3 6:49 PM R4 7:15 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:17 PM

Race 5

7:45 PM
1720m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st LA FAMILIA โญ Best Bet
2nd RAINBOWSEND
3rd SHARK DANCER
4th THERES WALLY
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” LA FAMILIA finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
10
LA FAMILIA P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. LA FAMILIA FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.26 $1.02 $1.90
1. THERES WALLY 1 $5.00 $1.18 $6.47
2. GREY CADILLAC 2 $15.00 $2.25 $13.78
7. SHARK DANCER 7 $21.00 $2.65 $19.65
5. BELLAMYS BLAST 5 $26.00 $3.60 $22.08
4. PRINCE OF PEACE 4 $26.00 $3.60 $23.86
8. RAINBOWSEND 8 $41.00 $4.00 $32.98
9. SMOKESCREEN 9 $51.00 $4.80 $37.15
3. NITRO DANNY 3 $51.00 $4.60 $38.99
6. SO CAN EYE 6 $61.00 $5.25 $40.52
Favourite record at PENRITH โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.26) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 67% 94% 48*
1.50โ€“1.99 50% 82% 66
2.00โ€“2.49 44% 69% 77
2.50โ€“3.49 33% 61% 104
3.50โ€“4.99 11% 37% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.