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BATHURST

R1 5:42 PM R2 6:10 PM R3 6:40 PM R4 7:12 PM R5 7:47 PM R6 8:20 PM R7 8:55 PM R8 9:26 PM

Race 5

7:47 PM
1730m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Bathurst Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st POSTER COMMAND ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FLINCENT
3rd HARD MERCHANDISE
4th REASON TO BE HAPPY
✅ Place bet — won outright — POSTER COMMAND finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
POSTER COMMAND P $1.05
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. POSTER COMMAND FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.70 $1.05 $2.53
6. YOUR SHUFFLE 6 $7.00 $1.90 $8.32
9. FLINCENT 9 $11.00 $2.50 $11.71
10. SOPHIES WISH 10 $13.00 $2.65 $13.48
11. MACHZINE MAHONEY 11 $13.00 $2.80 $13.57
2. HARD MERCHANDISE 2 $15.00 $2.50 $14.34
3. REASON TO BE HAPPY 3 $14.00 $2.75 $14.53
7. SWINGING QUEEN 7 $20.00 $3.75 $19.43
4. IAMAKING 4 $31.00 $4.50 $29.27
8. SWETTE CHEVAL 8 $51.00 $6.00 $36.58
Favourite record at BATHURST ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 73% 88% 66
1.50–1.99 this race 53% 77% 93
2.00–2.49 35% 66% 86
2.50–3.49 34% 70% 118
3.50–4.99 22% 53% 36*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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