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MELTON

R1 5:52 PM R2 6:26 PM R3 8:00 PM R4 8:20 PM R5 8:46 PM R6 9:18 PM R7 9:49 PM R8 10:22 PM R9 10:46 PM

Race 8

10:22 PM
2240m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st KYVALLEY DIXON
2nd BUMPER CROP โญ Best Bet
3rd ZIPPIN PAST
4th MISS MUSCLE
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” BUMPER CROP ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
BUMPER CROP P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
12
MAJARO GIRL W $12.00
Form view ยท saver 10.8% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) ยท Recent form: 7511
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. BUMPER CROP FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.20 $1.02 $1.74
13. KYVALLEY DIXON 13 $11.00 $2.00 $11.12
12. MAJARO GIRL 12 $12.00 $2.15 $12.66
6. ALDEBARAN EMJAY 6 $19.00 $2.75 $17.90
11. MISS MUSCLE 11 $21.00 $3.10 $18.75
4. ZIPPIN PAST 4 $26.00 $3.50 $21.93
10. LOLLY 10 $61.00 $4.60 $45.17
9. MY FIRST LADY 9 $81.00 $6.25 $56.11
7. LOVE THAT BIRD 7 $81.00 $6.25 $58.43
1. DOWNTOWN GIRL 1 $81.00 $4.50 $59.20
3. SHEEZ ONE OF 3 $81.00 $6.00 $60.20
5. SUMMER KISS 5 $126.00 $7.00 $85.71
Favourite record at MELTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.20) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 78% 90% 116
1.50โ€“1.99 49% 79% 145
2.00โ€“2.49 31% 67% 129
2.50โ€“3.49 27% 64% 132
3.50โ€“4.99 26% 55% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.