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NEWCASTLE

R1 6:22 PM R2 6:52 PM R3 7:22 PM R4 7:52 PM R5 8:22 PM R6 8:52 PM R7 9:24 PM R8 10:02 PM

Race 3

7:22 PM
1609m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st THE CID
2nd RADIANT AMBER
3rd HEIDSIECK
4th LETSSTARTINHEAVEN โญ Best Bet
โŒ Unplaced โ€” LETSSTARTINHEAVEN didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
LETSSTARTINHEAVEN P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. LETSSTARTINHEAVEN FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.18 $1.02 $1.74
5. THE CID 5 $9.50 $1.55 $9.74
10. GO AWAY AGAIN 10 $9.50 $1.45 $9.74
9. WALTER WARLOCK 9 $15.00 $2.20 $13.65
6. HEIDSIECK 6 $19.00 $2.50 $16.77
4. RADIANT AMBER 4 $51.00 $4.25 $36.23
1. ROCKNROLL GIG 1 $61.00 $3.80 $42.98
2. PET KITTY 2 $71.00 $4.50 $46.79
7. PARADISE POINT 7 $126.00 $6.50 $70.45
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.18) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 68% 89% 44*
1.50โ€“1.99 46% 79% 97
2.00โ€“2.49 41% 69% 93
2.50โ€“3.49 28% 59% 142
3.50โ€“4.99 19% 51% 37*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.