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NEWCASTLE

R1 6:22 PM R2 6:52 PM R3 7:22 PM R4 7:52 PM R5 8:22 PM R6 8:52 PM R7 9:24 PM R8 10:02 PM

Race 1

6:22 PM
1609m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st WHERES MY REASON ⭐ Best Bet
2nd LAST LEXUS
3rd ROCKIN MISS REGINA
4th RUMOUR STRIDE
✅ Place bet — won outright — WHERES MY REASON finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
WHERES MY REASON P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. WHERES MY REASON FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.60 $1.02 $2.37
1. LAST LEXUS 1 $5.00 $1.26 $6.36
2. MODERN MISCHIEF 2 $7.50 $1.60 $8.04
5. ULTIMATE ALL STAR 5 $9.00 $2.00 $9.38
7. RUMOUR STRIDE 7 $12.00 $2.40 $12.04
3. ROCKIN MISS REGINA 3 $26.00 $3.90 $21.67
6. THE NINJA 6 $51.00 $5.50 $34.41
4. ULTIMATE DILEMMA 4 $81.00 $6.75 $52.86
8. KYCORDEN 8 $151.00 $9.50 $79.63
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 44*
1.50–1.99 this race 46% 79% 97
2.00–2.49 41% 69% 93
2.50–3.49 28% 59% 143
3.50–4.99 19% 51% 37*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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