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PENRITH

R1 6:14 PM R2 6:44 PM R3 7:23 PM R4 7:50 PM R5 8:20 PM R6 8:50 PM R7 9:20 PM R8 9:50 PM R9 10:25 PM

Race 4

7:50 PM
1720m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st GROSSO NASO
2nd RAVISHING SLOY ⭐ Best Bet
3rd HES A MEISTER
4th LACEYS LAD
✅ Place bet landed — RAVISHING SLOY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
RAVISHING SLOY P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. RAVISHING SLOY FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.55 $1.02 $2.37
5. MONTALBANO 5 $6.50 $1.55 $7.33
2. LACEYS LAD 2 $8.50 $1.65 $9.52
10. GROSSO NASO 10 $12.00 $2.40 $11.66
7. TIGER PRINCE 7 $13.00 $2.50 $12.07
8. JILLIBY FABIO 8 $17.00 $2.90 $15.26
3. LIGHT ME UP 3 $19.00 $3.00 $18.10
6. HES A MEISTER 6 $51.00 $5.25 $34.73
11. FIRE FOX 11 $91.00 $7.00 $54.92
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 93% 41*
1.50–1.99 this race 47% 82% 57*
2.00–2.49 43% 66% 70
2.50–3.49 32% 60% 91
3.50–4.99 10% 40% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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