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MELTON

R1 5:52 PM R2 6:25 PM R3 6:52 PM R4 7:21 PM R5 7:51 PM R6 8:21 PM R7 8:51 PM R8 9:21 PM R9 9:56 PM

Race 1

5:52 PM
1720m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st LENARD ESS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FREAK OUT
3rd TED BEAR
4th ALLHEARTNOHEIGHT
✅ Place bet — won outright — LENARD ESS finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
LENARD ESS P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. LENARD ESS FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.38 $1.02 $2.07
3. ALLHEARTNOHEIGHT 3 $9.00 $1.60 $8.64
4. WOODLEA DIEGO 4 $9.00 $1.75 $9.51
7. FREAK OUT 7 $11.00 $2.10 $10.71
2. GOODTIME MAE 2 $12.00 $1.75 $12.40
10. TED BEAR 10 $17.00 $2.70 $16.72
8. TRAILBLAZER 8 $31.00 $3.80 $28.08
6. MAGIC MIKE 6 $51.00 $4.80 $37.42
Favourite record at MELTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 76% 89% 79
1.50–1.99 46% 81% 100
2.00–2.49 34% 66% 88
2.50–3.49 26% 66% 97
3.50–4.99 27% 53% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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