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LAUNCESTON

R1 12:40 PM R2 1:09 PM R3 1:44 PM R4 2:19 PM R5 2:54 PM R6 3:29 PM R7 4:04 PM R8 4:39 PM R9 5:12 PM

Race 1

12:40 PM
1680m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st POGACAR 💡 Saver
2nd SMELL THE SMOKE
3rd SOLO SNITCH
4th RYHAD
❌ Unplaced — CREAMY KARALTA didn't feature
✅ Saver won — POGACAR finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
7
CREAMY KARALTA W $2.10·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
6
POGACAR P $1.95
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. CREAMY KARALTA FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.10 $1.24 $2.80
6. POGACAR 6 $4.20 $1.95 $5.78
1. RYHAD 1 $8.00 $2.65 $8.12
4. SMELL THE SMOKE 4 $8.50 $3.25 $8.52
2. SOLO SNITCH 2 $8.00 $2.80 $9.41
5. THEY THINK THEY IT 5 $15.00 $4.50 $15.36
8. IDEN JUST BECAUSE 8 $16.00 $4.80 $17.06
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 79% 98% 43*
1.50–1.99 43% 72% 46*
2.00–2.49 this race 26% 55% 47*
2.50–3.49 30% 65% 69
3.50–4.99 25% 45% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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