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PENRITH

R1 6:15 PM R2 6:41 PM R3 7:18 PM R4 7:45 PM R5 8:15 PM R6 8:45 PM R7 9:15 PM R8 9:43 PM

Race 4

7:45 PM
2125m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st GISSELLE
2nd THIS IS HEAVEN ⭐ Best Bet
3rd BOLERO
4th MY ULTIMATE BUDDHA
✅ Place bet landed — THIS IS HEAVEN ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
THIS IS HEAVEN P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. THIS IS HEAVEN FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.22 $1.02 $1.86
1. WHEREISHE 1 $8.00 $1.36 $9.54
5. GISSELLE 5 $14.00 $2.35 $14.18
9. MY ULTIMATE BUDDHA 9 $17.00 $2.70 $15.65
7. NOTHINGBUTWAVES 7 $17.00 $2.70 $16.15
3. ADMIRABLE 3 $20.00 $3.10 $18.93
8. OKAY GRINGO 8 $34.00 $3.75 $26.53
6. BOLERO 6 $41.00 $4.50 $31.79
10. AMERICAN BOXER 10 $61.00 $5.50 $47.19
2. JAY BEE LOU 2 $81.00 $5.50 $53.59
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.22) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 72% 95% 39*
1.50–1.99 50% 83% 54*
2.00–2.49 42% 65% 66
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 84
3.50–4.99 7% 39% 28*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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