‹ All races

NEWCASTLE

R1 1:15 PM R2 1:53 PM R3 2:33 PM R4 3:08 PM R5 3:43 PM R6 4:18 PM R7 4:54 PM R8 5:30 PM

Race 6

4:18 PM
1609m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st CAPTAIN DORIAN
2nd HEEZ REASONABLE ⭐ Best Bet
3rd WILL I AM
4th BLACKMIRRA
✅ Place bet landed — HEEZ REASONABLE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
HEEZ REASONABLE P $1.04
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. HEEZ REASONABLE FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.70 $1.04 $2.49
6. BLACKMIRRA 6 $6.00 $1.60 $6.86
5. GO TESS GO 5 $6.50 $1.65 $7.54
7. WILL I AM 7 $9.00 $2.15 $9.89
10. CAPTAIN DORIAN 10 $10.00 $2.15 $10.09
4. NEVER KNOW BLAZE 4 $31.00 $4.40 $26.91
9. CONOR MCGREGOR 9 $41.00 $5.25 $34.54
1. PEPPERCORN BARRY 1 $61.00 $4.60 $42.40
8. ADDED VALUE 8 $101.00 $8.00 $60.50
2. KIARAS EPONA 2 $126.00 $7.25 $70.90
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 47*
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 78% 109
2.00–2.49 41% 70% 105
2.50–3.49 26% 58% 163
3.50–4.99 19% 52% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.