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MARBURG

R1 12:17 PM R2 12:53 PM R3 1:32 PM R4 2:05 PM R5 2:45 PM R6 3:14 PM R7 3:42 PM R8 4:07 PM

Race 6

3:14 PM
1850m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st THE CASUAL GOOSE 📍 Place Pick
2nd MAJOR SLIP UP
3rd GRACENAVA
4th IDEAL TIGER
✅ Place bet — won outright — THE CASUAL GOOSE finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
1
THE CASUAL GOOSE W $2.40·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
TEACHERS PET P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. THE CASUAL GOOSE FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.40 $1.18 $3.42
8. TEACHERS PET 8 $3.30 $1.30 $4.76
6. GRACENAVA 6 $5.00 $1.40 $7.01
9. ROCKNROLL DA GAMA 9 $9.00 $2.35 $10.24
7. IDEAL TIGER 7 $16.00 $3.30 $15.54
4. OUR DOLLY 4 $16.00 $3.60 $17.22
2. MAN OF ACTION 2 $23.00 $3.90 $20.57
5. AUNTY FRANCES 5 $23.00 $4.25 $21.30
3. MAJOR SLIP UP 3 $31.00 $4.80 $25.67
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 73% 100% 22*
1.50–1.99 47% 86% 36*
2.00–2.49 this race 52% 80% 25*
2.50–3.49 26% 83% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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