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MELTON

R1 5:55 PM R2 6:30 PM R3 7:01 PM R4 7:36 PM R5 8:11 PM R6 8:46 PM R7 9:21 PM R8 9:56 PM

Race 1

5:55 PM
1720m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st OX KNOX โญ Best Bet
2nd BUSLIN BRODY
3rd FLYIN TIME
4th CARTACALHA
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” OX KNOX finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
OX KNOX P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
6
AT THE DISTANCE W $11.00
Form view ยท saver 16.3% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) ยท Recent form: 5221
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. OX KNOX FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.38 $1.02 $2.07
6. AT THE DISTANCE 6 $11.00 $2.20 $10.47
10. DEEJAY DEX 10 $9.50 $2.00 $10.80
3. TRUSCOTTS ELEGANCE 3 $9.50 $1.80 $11.71
8. BUSLIN BRODY 8 $21.00 $3.40 $17.90
2. JETZ 2 $19.00 $2.50 $18.25
11. HOLD THAT MAGIC 11 $31.00 $4.00 $24.30
7. MISTA WALKER 7 $41.00 $4.75 $28.25
4. CARTACALHA 4 $41.00 $4.75 $31.00
9. FLYIN TIME 9 $61.00 $5.00 $41.45
Favourite record at MELTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 90% 69
1.50โ€“1.99 47% 81% 88
2.00โ€“2.49 33% 64% 75
2.50โ€“3.49 23% 66% 88
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 52% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.