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BALLARAT

R1 5:00 PM R2 5:35 PM R3 6:00 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 7:00 PM R6 7:30 PM R7 8:00 PM

Race 5

7:00 PM
1710m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st ROYAL ROCKSTAR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SEASIDE LADY
3rd LIV ON LOVE
4th FIRESIDE
✅ Place bet — won outright — ROYAL ROCKSTAR finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
ROYAL ROCKSTAR P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. ROYAL ROCKSTAR FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.34 $1.02 $1.95
7. HALF AS TOUGH 7 $8.50 $1.80 $8.66
2. LIV ON LOVE 2 $8.00 $1.50 $9.17
9. SEASIDE LADY 9 $13.00 $2.35 $12.54
1. JAMALA KHAN 1 $15.00 $2.10 $15.30
11. FIRESIDE 11 $23.00 $3.50 $21.07
10. ROBLEN DEMON 10 $41.00 $4.25 $32.38
5. MOONLIGHT KATE 5 $81.00 $6.25 $61.50
3. CURRYINAHURRY 3 $126.00 $7.25 $78.09
6. LYNNES SPECIAL 6 $126.00 $7.50 $89.38
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 31% 69% 35*
2.00–2.49 42% 77% 26*
2.50–3.49 33% 53% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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