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MARBURG

R1 12:45 PM R2 1:10 PM R3 1:35 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:25 PM R6 2:52 PM R7 3:19 PM R8 3:57 PM R9 4:29 PM

Race 4

2:00 PM
2200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st GOTTA DREAM ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CAPTAIN OH CAPTAIN
3rd DEEP REGRET
4th ULTIMATE HUNTER
✅ Place bet — won outright — GOTTA DREAM finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
GOTTA DREAM P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. GOTTA DREAM FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.55 $1.02 $2.34
9. YOGI 9 $7.50 $1.85 $8.41
6. CAPTAIN OH CAPTAIN 6 $8.50 $1.70 $9.19
4. ROSIE POLLEN 4 $7.50 $1.85 $9.20
7. ULTIMATE HUNTER 7 $14.00 $2.50 $14.19
2. ICANANDIWILL 2 $20.00 $3.25 $17.72
8. GRACENAVA 8 $20.00 $3.50 $19.78
5. DEEP REGRET 5 $31.00 $4.25 $27.49
3. JIMMY JOYCE 3 $61.00 $6.00 $43.55
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 71% 96% 24*
1.50–1.99 this race 47% 84% 38*
2.00–2.49 48% 83% 29*
2.50–3.49 30% 77% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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