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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:09 PM R2 5:37 PM R3 6:14 PM R4 6:52 PM R5 7:27 PM R6 7:55 PM R7 8:23 PM R8 8:58 PM

Race 3

6:14 PM
1680m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st PORT RUN MACHINE 📍 Place Pick
2nd SOHO TIGER LILY
3rd HEYNOWHEYNOW
4th STORM VENDETTA
✅ Place bet — won outright — PORT RUN MACHINE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
11
PORT RUN MACHINE P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. PORT RUN MACHINE FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.70 $1.30 $4.07
3. HEYNOWHEYNOW 3 $3.50 $1.38 $4.88
2. SHES NANCY 2 $4.00 $1.45 $5.72
8. QUEEN ANASTASIA 8 $10.00 $2.80 $11.55
10. SOHO TIGER LILY 10 $14.00 $3.60 $13.64
1. ASTORMZABREWEN 1 $16.00 $3.20 $15.05
6. WINNING BREW 6 $34.00 $6.00 $27.52
4. STORM VENDETTA 4 $31.00 $5.50 $28.60
12. JILLSTIGER 12 $61.00 $7.50 $44.61
5. OMYBACNKNEES JUDGE 5 $61.00 $7.25 $45.23
7. KLITSCHKO LEIS 7 $91.00 $10.00 $60.75
9. SOHO TUXEDO 9 $91.00 $8.50 $62.04
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 80% 98% 40*
1.50–1.99 45% 70% 40*
2.00–2.49 28% 60% 40*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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