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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:12 PM R2 5:40 PM R3 6:05 PM R4 6:39 PM R5 7:11 PM R6 7:46 PM R7 8:21 PM R8 8:56 PM

Race 4

6:39 PM
1609m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st LITTLE DEMON โญ Best Bet
2nd YESNOMAYBESO
3rd LIMOUSINE CHEEKY
4th MISTER BRILLANTE
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” LITTLE DEMON finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
LITTLE DEMON P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. LITTLE DEMON FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.45 $1.02 $2.19
1. RACING PAULA 1 $6.00 $1.34 $6.90
8. YESNOMAYBESO 8 $9.00 $2.00 $10.06
7. CORAL CAYS 7 $11.00 $2.30 $11.50
2. MISTER BRILLANTE 2 $17.00 $2.80 $15.78
11. AVENGER 11 $34.00 $4.40 $27.89
10. SWEET TARA 10 $41.00 $4.50 $31.40
9. CHOGI 9 $41.00 $4.20 $33.21
3. LIMOUSINE CHEEKY 3 $51.00 $5.50 $37.85
6. LOUIGI 6 $61.00 $6.00 $42.33
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 69% 89% 35*
1.50โ€“1.99 47% 81% 78
2.00โ€“2.49 44% 72% 72
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 63% 112
3.50โ€“4.99 15% 48% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.