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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:12 PM R2 5:40 PM R3 6:05 PM R4 6:39 PM R5 7:11 PM R6 7:46 PM R7 8:21 PM R8 8:56 PM

Race 1

5:12 PM
1609m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st IM A LIBERTY GIRL
2nd CINNAMON
3rd STAY FOOLISH 📍 Place Pick
4th UPSTREAM
✅ Place bet landed — STAY FOOLISH ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
STAY FOOLISH P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. STAY FOOLISH FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.80 $1.40 $3.94
3. ADELAIDE BEE CEE 3 $3.10 $1.55 $4.07
4. CINNAMON 4 $6.50 $2.80 $7.16
6. UPSTREAM 6 $7.50 $3.20 $8.30
5. OUR ULTIMATE LAYLA 5 $10.00 $3.90 $11.12
7. IM A LIBERTY GIRL 7 $13.00 $4.60 $12.22
8. OTTOS WEALTH 8 $14.00 $4.75 $14.51
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 89% 35*
1.50–1.99 47% 81% 78
2.00–2.49 44% 72% 72
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 63% 112
3.50–4.99 15% 48% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.