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GEELONG

R1 6:32 PM R2 7:39 PM R3 8:14 PM R4 8:49 PM R5 9:24 PM R6 9:50 PM

Race 1

6:32 PM

1609m · 6 runners

🏁 Result

1st FICTION FILE ⭐ Best Bet

2nd JILLIBY KYMY LOU

3rd CALEDONIAN RANGER

4th MONSIEUR FLAMEL

✅ Place bet — won outright — FICTION FILE finished 1st

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

FICTION FILE P $1.02

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Barrier	Win	Place	Our rate
5. FICTION FILE FAV TOP RATED	5	$1.24	$1.02	$1.80
7. JANIEBQUICK	7	$8.50	$2.25	$8.25
4. CALEDONIAN RANGER	4	$9.50	$2.45	$9.50
2. JILLIBY KYMY LOU	2	$11.00	$2.60	$10.32
3. MONSIEUR FLAMEL	3	$14.00	$3.30	$12.43
1. TRAILBLAZER	1	$31.00	$3.90	$25.18

Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
2.50–3.49	20%	70%	20*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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