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SHEPPARTON

R1 5:05 PM R2 5:38 PM R3 6:05 PM R4 6:33 PM R5 7:00 PM R6 7:30 PM R7 8:00 PM R8 8:30 PM

Race 3

6:05 PM
1690m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Shepparton Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st KIMBERLEYS TREE
2nd JESSICAS STORY
3rd THE ITALIAN DREAM
4th KENNYS SON
❌ Unplaced — LITTLE MISS MORGAN didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
LITTLE MISS MORGAN P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LITTLE MISS MORGAN FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.40 $1.02 $2.06
7. KIMBERLEYS TREE 7 $7.50 $1.55 $8.60
3. THE ITALIAN DREAM 3 $8.00 $1.60 $9.24
2. ALDEBARAN MARCUS 2 $10.00 $1.75 $10.11
6. KENNYS SON 6 $21.00 $3.20 $16.80
1. JESSICAS STORY 1 $23.00 $2.65 $18.17
4. MY JERRY 4 $26.00 $3.60 $23.41
8. PROHIBITED BID 8 $41.00 $4.40 $30.54
Favourite record at SHEPPARTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.40) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 63% 75% 24*
1.50–1.99 41% 73% 59*
2.00–2.49 40% 62% 52*
2.50–3.49 25% 56% 72
3.50–4.99 36% 73% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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