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PENRITH

R1 5:45 PM R2 6:17 PM R3 6:49 PM R4 7:15 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 4

7:15 PM
2125m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st MAJOR BYE 📍 Place Pick
2nd CRUNCH IT
3rd NITRO DANNY
4th ADELAIDE BEE CEE
✅ Place bet — won outright — MAJOR BYE finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
9
MAJOR BYE P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. MAJOR BYE FAV TOP RATED 9 $2.80 $1.28 $4.31
5. CRUNCH IT 5 $4.80 $1.60 $6.22
7. FINAL PROMISE 7 $5.00 $1.70 $6.78
2. ADELAIDE BEE CEE 2 $6.00 $1.80 $7.17
1. LETS FLY WITH ME 1 $9.50 $2.25 $9.96
4. NITRO DANNY 4 $11.00 $2.80 $12.47
8. JOHNNY TANG 8 $16.00 $3.60 $15.97
10. JAY BEE LOU 10 $23.00 $4.50 $21.26
6. HESHARLEY 6 $41.00 $6.00 $33.47
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 97% 31*
1.50–1.99 48% 81% 48*
2.00–2.49 46% 69% 52*
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 60% 65
3.50–4.99 4% 39% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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