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PENRITH

R1 5:45 PM R2 6:17 PM R3 6:49 PM R4 7:15 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 3

6:49 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st BARA RILEY
2nd 3,8
3rd FOR SIXES
❌ Unplaced — CASE FORTY EIGHT didn't feature
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
CASE FORTY EIGHT P $1.32
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. CASE FORTY EIGHT FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.10 $1.32 $4.73
3. THERES WALLY 3 $4.60 $1.65 $6.30
7. BARA RILEY 7 $5.50 $1.75 $7.21
9. FOR SIXES 9 $8.50 $2.50 $8.62
8. OURTREACHEROUS REIGN 8 $7.50 $2.25 $9.05
2. SMOKESCREEN 2 $7.50 $2.20 $9.67
5. DONTLETFEARSTOPYA 5 $26.00 $4.80 $23.29
4. HEAVENLY REASON 4 $26.00 $4.80 $23.48
6. WHEREISHE 6 $31.00 $5.50 $26.14
10. CANTPLZA MALTEEZA 10 $31.00 $5.75 $26.65
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.10) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 97% 31*
1.50–1.99 48% 81% 48*
2.00–2.49 46% 69% 52*
2.50–3.49 this race 31% 60% 65
3.50–4.99 4% 39% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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