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BALLARAT

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:25 PM R4 6:59 PM R5 7:30 PM R6 8:00 PM R7 8:30 PM

Race 7

8:30 PM
1710m ยท 7 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st PIQUE
2nd KEAYANG ZIA โญ Best Bet
3rd ALCOMBZ
4th CHAMPAGNESALLY
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” KEAYANG ZIA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
KEAYANG ZIA P $1.07
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. KEAYANG ZIA FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.50 $1.07 $2.19
2. PIQUE 2 $4.40 $1.70 $5.18
7. ALCOMBZ 7 $7.00 $2.50 $7.76
4. CHAMPAGNESALLY 4 $15.00 $4.20 $15.03
3. EL UNO 3 $23.00 $5.25 $17.31
1. ISLAND RUBEE 1 $26.00 $4.25 $19.35
6. WATCH THE BAY 6 $26.00 $5.75 $21.99
Favourite record at BALLARAT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 31% 65% 26*
2.00โ€“2.49 36% 73% 22*
2.50โ€“3.49 29% 46% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.