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BALLARAT

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:25 PM R4 6:59 PM R5 7:30 PM R6 8:00 PM R7 8:30 PM

Race 3

6:25 PM
1710m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st ARZALI ROCKSTAR
2nd FICTION FILE 📍 Place Pick
3rd MONSIEUR FLAMEL
4th JILLIBY KYMY LOU
✅ Place bet landed — FICTION FILE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
9
FICTION FILE W $1.85·P $1.05
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
7
BAYSTYLE P $1.24
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. FICTION FILE FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.85 $1.05 $2.80
7. BAYSTYLE 7 $3.40 $1.24 $4.36
2. ARZALI ROCKSTAR 2 $9.00 $1.95 $9.65
1. BUILDTHEMANASTATUE 1 $12.00 $2.10 $11.73
6. MONSIEUR FLAMEL 6 $15.00 $2.90 $14.22
4. SKIPPYS DELIGHT 4 $18.00 $3.30 $17.74
8. JILLIBY KYMY LOU 8 $26.00 $4.00 $22.44
5. MY BEAUTIFUL LIFE 5 $31.00 $4.40 $26.71
3. OPTIMAL 3 $91.00 $7.00 $62.66
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 31% 65% 26*
2.00–2.49 36% 73% 22*
2.50–3.49 29% 46% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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