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BALLARAT

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:25 PM R4 6:59 PM R5 7:30 PM R6 8:00 PM R7 8:30 PM

Race 1

5:22 PM
2200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st PARIS KAY 💡 Saver
2nd KEAYANG TWEETYBIRD 📍 Place Pick
3rd NIGHT FLIGHT
4th NO TELLING HEATHER
✅ Place bet landed — KEAYANG TWEETYBIRD ran a place
✅ Saver won — PARIS KAY finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
11
KEAYANG TWEETYBIRD W $1.85·P $1.05
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
PARIS KAY P $1.18
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. KEAYANG TWEETYBIRD FAV TOP RATED 11 $1.85 $1.05 $2.85
3. PARIS KAY 3 $3.00 $1.18 $3.91
2. NIGHT FLIGHT 2 $9.00 $1.90 $9.54
9. BUSLIN BRODY 9 $15.00 $2.70 $14.17
6. NO TELLING HEATHER 6 $18.00 $3.30 $16.06
4. WHISKEY DAWN 4 $31.00 $4.40 $23.10
8. KYVALLEY ANTHONY 8 $34.00 $4.60 $26.47
10. NOBLE COUNT 10 $34.00 $4.60 $27.57
1. BAT OUT OF HILL 1 $71.00 $4.60 $49.54
7. APEX 7 $81.00 $6.75 $55.08
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 31% 65% 26*
2.00–2.49 36% 73% 22*
2.50–3.49 29% 46% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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