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MELTON

R1 5:07 PM R2 5:42 PM R3 6:12 PM R4 6:42 PM R5 7:14 PM R6 7:39 PM R7 8:11 PM R8 8:40 PM

Race 2

5:42 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st IJUSTCALLEDTOSAY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd CARLA PIXIE
3rd NAKEDTRUTH
4th ROCKY VALLEY
✅ Place bet — won outright — IJUSTCALLEDTOSAY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
IJUSTCALLEDTOSAY P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. IJUSTCALLEDTOSAY FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.20 $1.02 $1.73
9. CARLA PIXIE 9 $9.00 $1.38 $8.96
4. PRETTYBOY HARRY 4 $11.00 $1.75 $10.85
8. NAKEDTRUTH 8 $14.00 $1.65 $12.84
10. ROCKY VALLEY 10 $34.00 $3.90 $26.23
3. SPIRITED LASS 3 $51.00 $4.60 $33.64
6. KARBINE 6 $51.00 $4.60 $34.49
5. DOSSIER 5 $101.00 $6.50 $60.85
7. JACK SPRAT 7 $126.00 $7.00 $67.68
2. FAITH FULL 2 $126.00 $5.75 $79.45
Favourite record at MELTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.20) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 88% 56*
1.50–1.99 45% 80% 64
2.00–2.49 36% 66% 59*
2.50–3.49 24% 69% 70
3.50–4.99 22% 48% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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