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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:52 PM R2 6:22 PM R3 6:52 PM R4 7:17 PM R5 7:47 PM R6 8:18 PM R7 8:53 PM R8 9:28 PM R9 10:03 PM

Race 5

7:47 PM
1609m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st MAJOR REASON
2nd MR TEDDY ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
3rd COOL NIGHT
4th METALLICA MAN
โŒ Unplaced โ€” PETES CRUNCH TIME didn't feature
โœ… Saver placed โ€” MR TEDDY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner โ€” win or place.
3
PETES CRUNCH TIME W $2.10ยทP $1.12
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
4
MR TEDDY P $1.36
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver.
9
HUXTON W $11.00
Form view ยท saver 15.3% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) ยท Recent form: 19s2
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. PETES CRUNCH TIME FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.10 $1.12 $3.23
2. MAJOR REASON 2 $4.80 $1.45 $5.85
4. MR TEDDY 4 $4.60 $1.36 $6.06
11. COOL NIGHT 11 $8.50 $2.20 $9.11
9. HUXTON 9 $11.00 $2.65 $10.54
7. METALLICA MAN 7 $20.00 $3.70 $19.95
10. LACEYS LAD 10 $31.00 $4.80 $23.53
1. OBADIAH DRAGON 1 $34.00 $4.20 $29.72
8. ITZMINEONTHELINE 8 $61.00 $8.50 $42.31
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.10) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 91% 33*
1.50โ€“1.99 48% 79% 71
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 44% 73% 66
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 65% 103
3.50โ€“4.99 16% 48% 25*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.