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PENRITH

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Race 8

9:15 PM
1720m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st BORN TO RAVISH ⭐ Best Bet
2nd STEELY ZAC
3rd LUCIENDO BIEN
4th MAVERICK
✅ Place bet — won outright — BORN TO RAVISH finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
BORN TO RAVISH P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BORN TO RAVISH FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.55 $1.02 $2.27
4. STEELY ZAC 4 $5.50 $1.38 $6.68
11. LUCIENDO BIEN 11 $7.50 $1.75 $8.07
8. KOJAX 8 $8.00 $1.70 $8.97
7. LOCHINVAR COOGEE 7 $20.00 $3.40 $17.96
6. MAKEAWISH 6 $21.00 $3.50 $18.70
5. MARY TALJUICE 5 $51.00 $5.50 $38.41
2. KINGS CASTLE 2 $51.00 $4.80 $40.12
1. MAVERICK 1 $101.00 $5.00 $65.28
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 93% 46*
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 81% 63
2.00–2.49 42% 67% 73
2.50–3.49 33% 61% 98
3.50–4.99 11% 37% 35*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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