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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:10 PM R2 1:45 PM R3 2:20 PM R4 2:55 PM R5 3:33 PM R6 4:10 PM R7 4:50 PM R8 5:16 PM

Race 5

3:33 PM
1609m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st GOODLOOKINGDEAL ⭐ Best Bet
2nd TENNESSEE KID
3rd BETWEEN DECKS
4th A LITTLE DILEMMA
✅ Place bet — won outright — GOODLOOKINGDEAL finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
GOODLOOKINGDEAL P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. GOODLOOKINGDEAL FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.18 $1.02 $1.74
6. TENNESSEE KID 6 $8.00 $1.45 $8.35
5. HAPPY TULHURST 5 $12.00 $2.00 $12.03
10. BETWEEN DECKS 10 $18.00 $2.20 $17.15
4. THRIPENNY 4 $26.00 $3.10 $21.76
8. A LITTLE DILEMMA 8 $34.00 $3.50 $26.98
1. ADDED VALUE 1 $51.00 $3.30 $34.15
7. LUCKY RICTOR 7 $51.00 $4.20 $36.41
9. COOINDALAI 9 $61.00 $4.60 $43.00
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.18) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 70% 90% 40*
1.50–1.99 46% 79% 87
2.00–2.49 43% 71% 82
2.50–3.49 28% 61% 130
3.50–4.99 15% 50% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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