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REDCLIFFE

R1 5:43 PM R2 6:10 PM R3 6:45 PM R4 7:13 PM R5 7:41 PM R6 8:09 PM

Race 4

7:13 PM
1780m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Redcliffe Harness Racing & Sporting Club ›
🏁 Result
1st FAVREAU ⭐ Best Bet
2nd GOOD WORD THAT
3rd BETTING BARON
4th EBONY BELLE
✅ Place bet — won outright — FAVREAU finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
FAVREAU P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. FAVREAU FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.60 $1.09 $2.45
1. GOOD WORD THAT 1 $3.80 $1.26 $5.09
7. DIAMOND DEANO 7 $8.00 $1.65 $8.87
8. EBONY BELLE 8 $9.50 $1.90 $10.95
3. BETTING BARON 3 $14.00 $2.25 $12.98
6. JIMMY JOYCE 6 $20.00 $3.10 $16.94
5. TAPTHEKEG 5 $31.00 $3.90 $23.84
2. DOWNTOWN MANHATTAN 2 $126.00 $5.25 $76.19
Favourite record at REDCLIFFE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 91% 90
1.50–1.99 this race 46% 79% 170
2.00–2.49 41% 77% 179
2.50–3.49 28% 59% 190
3.50–4.99 22% 43% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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