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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:17 PM R2 5:42 PM R3 6:07 PM R4 6:38 PM R5 7:06 PM R6 7:41 PM R7 8:16 PM R8 8:51 PM

Race 6

7:41 PM
2030m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st CHOGI
2nd MELFIELD SORYT
3rd CONCILIATE โญ Best Bet
4th BUBBA NAY
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” CONCILIATE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
CONCILIATE P $1.10
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. CONCILIATE FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.55 $1.10 $2.40
10. BUBBA NAY 10 $3.90 $1.30 $5.34
7. D J ROCK 7 $10.00 $2.25 $9.93
5. IRE OF THE DRAGON 5 $12.00 $2.45 $10.79
6. MELFIELD SORYT 6 $11.00 $2.25 $11.32
3. ULTIMATE TROUBLE 3 $51.00 $5.25 $33.34
9. LIMOUSINE CHEEKY 9 $51.00 $6.00 $36.34
2. CHOGI 2 $61.00 $4.80 $44.43
8. CHEDDAR VALLEY 8 $91.00 $7.25 $57.84
1. STEALTH BOMBA 1 $101.00 $4.75 $61.28
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 64% 89% 28*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 46% 79% 61
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 75% 52*
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 79
3.50โ€“4.99 20% 50% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.