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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:17 PM R2 5:42 PM R3 6:07 PM R4 6:38 PM R5 7:06 PM R6 7:41 PM R7 8:16 PM R8 8:51 PM

Race 3

6:07 PM
1609m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st RADIANT AMBER
2nd ENOLA โญ Best Bet
3rd AVENGER
4th MAJOR MICKEY
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” ENOLA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ENOLA P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ENOLA FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.30 $1.02 $1.92
6. ROCKIN BULL 6 $7.50 $1.70 $8.08
9. RADIANT AMBER 9 $9.00 $1.55 $11.00
3. BLING THE KASH 3 $13.00 $2.35 $12.39
7. KARAOKE KING 7 $20.00 $3.20 $18.85
4. AVENGER 4 $31.00 $3.80 $25.60
2. STAY FOOLISH 2 $31.00 $3.30 $26.48
5. JACQUELINE ROSE 5 $41.00 $4.40 $29.82
8. MAJOR MICKEY 8 $71.00 $5.75 $52.30
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.30) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 64% 89% 28*
1.50โ€“1.99 47% 80% 59*
2.00โ€“2.49 46% 75% 52*
2.50โ€“3.49 32% 66% 79
3.50โ€“4.99 20% 50% 20*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.