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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:04 PM R2 5:39 PM R3 6:14 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:10 PM R6 7:38 PM R7 8:06 PM R8 8:49 PM

Race 4

6:40 PM
2200m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st SMOOTH REASON
2nd ATOMIC BLACK
3rd MCMAYHEM
4th RAINBOW RANGER
โŒ Unplaced โ€” ALWAYS BETTOR didn't feature
Dominant favourite Strong
Trust the favourite โ€” market and model agree. Win-bet race.
5
ALWAYS BETTOR P $1.09
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite โ€” a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. ALWAYS BETTOR FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.55 $1.09 $2.24
9. MCMAYHEM 9 $6.00 $1.38 $6.98
4. ROCKY STRIDE 4 $5.50 $1.40 $7.22
2. ATOMIC BLACK 2 $7.50 $1.55 $7.90
6. RAINBOW RANGER 6 $14.00 $2.45 $12.89
10. SMOOTH REASON 10 $34.00 $4.40 $27.94
1. MY BAD 1 $151.00 $5.75 $83.24
8. HARRYS DEAL 8 $151.00 $10.00 $94.65
7. BUSLOAD OF FAITH 7 $126.00 $9.00 $104.29
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.55) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 80% 100% 25*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 47% 70% 30*
2.00โ€“2.49 28% 53% 32*
2.50โ€“3.49 29% 60% 48*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.